The data doesn't lie: Autism is a massive national emergency

We are heading toward 5% of all U.S. males being disabled by autism. Yet academia and the media blandly accept this horror as a new normal.

By Jill Escher

Over the years I have been at odds with many autism advocacy groups, most notably those who blame vaccines for autism, or who tout autism as some sort of treatable immune disorder. The evidence simply does not support those views, and many have been harmed by anti-vaccine and faux therapeutic ideas related to them. I will admit even the words “Age of Autism” make me cringe.

But there is one area where we have strong agreement: the terrible reality of the steep escalation in rates of serious brain dysfunction we call autism. The evidence for this dramatic surge is simply overwhelming from nearly all corners: clinical records, educational records, state disability programs, epidemiological studies, Social Security, Medicaid, and more. No matter the source one can easily see a 20- or 40-fold, or more, increase in autism over recent decades. And, no, there is no evidence whatsoever that we simply missed hundreds of thousands, or millions, of seriously cognitively and functionally disabled children in the 1950s, 60s, 70s, and 80s. In fact, based on robust data this is plainly impossible, as I discussed in a recent blogpost here.

Nevertheless — just like the ghastly Refrigerator Mother myth of yore — the “it’s all just better ascertainment” idea, no matter how data-free and devoid of evidence, has taken hold like a panther on its prey. This new myth of autism has become so ingrained that even Autism Speaks has joined the ranks denying any increase in the prevalence of autism, as discussed here. Which should disgust the entire autism community.

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With all that in mind I would like to acknowledge a brief video recently put out by SafeMinds. It features Walter Zahorodny, PhD, one of the investigators in the CDC’s ADDM monitoring network. It’s only about 5 minutes, and it’s worth watching. This is the front-page news that’s been missing from our front pages for years. No, I don’t agree with SafeMinds on many things, but this video is spot-on.

We are experiencing a double-whammy nightmare: a nation careening toward 5% of all U.S. males being disabled by autism, based on the most recent data from New Jersey, which Dr. Zahorodny considers a leading indicator, and a concurrent yawn from academia and the media, both of which blandly accept this horror as a new normal. Classrooms full of kids who can’t talk or learn, while they shred their clothes and pick off their skin? Entirely normal! We just didn’t notice them before. Droves of young adults unable to care for themselves and dependent on costly (and tragically scarce) 24/7 care? We must not have counted them before!

As a consequence of rampant autism denialism, while suffering and panic spread across our country, we have no serious national discourse about long-term needs, or even potential causes, all while research dollars keep flowing to dead-end, incremental studies that do nothing to help autism families today. And meanwhile “disability rights” advocates who consider autism a “gift of neurodiversity” rather than a devastating neurodevelopmental disorder, work to de-fund programs serving the severely disabled. It’s so absurd I feel like I live in Autism Twilight Zone.

New Jersey now suffers a 3% overall autism rate (boys and girls), yet as Dr. Zahorodny points out, no one seems to find this fact distressing or shocking. “If we said that 3% of the children in our country had a hearing impairment or a visual impairment, I think that would be taken as a real urgent issue that would call for lots of research and investigation.” Yet with autism — a condition far more serious, costly, and disabling — we get the nationwide shoulder shrug.

NCSA also featured Dr. Zahorodny in a recent webinar, Autism’s Continued Climb, which you can access here.

Jill Escher is President of the National Council on Severe Autism. She is also a research philanthropist focusing on questions of non-genetic inheritance in autism.

Disclaimer: Blogposts on the NCSA blog represent the opinions of the individual authors and not necessarily the views or positions of the NCSA or its board of directors.

A Tale of Two Autisms

Two kids with severe autism, two starkly different realities and needs

Sophie, here social distancing at a park in San Jose, California, is nonverbal and autistic, but known for her giant smile and sweet disposition. Her brother’s autism, on the other hand, can be volatile and dangerous. Their needs are light years apa…

Sophie, here social distancing at a park in San Jose, California, is nonverbal and autistic, but known for her giant smile and sweet disposition. Her brother’s autism, on the other hand, can be volatile and dangerous. Their needs are light years apart.

By Jill Escher

Like many other autism families, we are “twice blessed” by the autism fairy. Our younger son Jonathan, 21, and daughter Sophie, 14, both suffer from the disorder — their mysterious brain abnormalities have rendered them nonverbal, with few functional abilities, and they will both require 24/7 care for the rest of their lives. Neither can speak, read, or write, or comprehend even basic abstract concepts.

But there the similarity ends.

Sophie ice skating in March 2020 just before the shutdown.

Sophie ice skating in March 2020 just before the shutdown.

Over the last two years Sophie has blossomed in many ways. She is joyful, easygoing, and engaging. She likes to play catch and dance to music (we call her deep side-side lunge “The Sophie”), and enjoys long walks with mom as she dribbles her basketball. In quiet moments she often grins and giggles, reaching out for tickles, hugs, and arm scratches.

My friends joke that she has “portable autism” because she’s game to go anywhere, no fuss at all. She’ll sit nicely at most any restaurant — those were the pre-Covid days, alas — and she’s a hearty traveler, her favorite destination being Hawaii where she can frolic in Waikiki waves for hours. She’s also become a fearless blue-run downhill skier, which is pretty remarkable considering that a few years ago she lept off a ski lift in a panic (she was fine). And did I mention the kid can confidently power-skate around an ice rink like a derby girl?

Unfortunately, the last two years have seen my son slide down the opposite trajectory.

He has developed the impossible-to-take-anywhere autism. Despite his intensely loving nature, Jonny has all those hallmarks of the severe end of the spectrum — property destruction, aggression, self-injury, anxiety, outbursts. Whereas I used to take him hiking for hours, today that would be an impossibility. Even persuading him to exit the car would be a Herculean task that could lead to a meltdown.

Jonny playing with his iPhones a few months ago.

Jonny playing with his iPhones a few months ago.

These days you see a Jonny with his forehead and arms slashed with self-inflicted scratches. My car is so destroyed by his ravages that it literally has no back seat remaining. We’ve been through about a dozen shredded mattresses and beds in just recent months. Outdoors, he will peel bark from trees or rip his clothes or dash across the street despite desperate attempts to keep him safe. While I could easily spend years caring for Sophie with minimal stress, even one day with Jonny can leave a caregiver frazzled and exhausted.

Two young people with severe forms of autism, yet so vastly different I hardly consider them in the same category of disability. Jonny’s care needs are so off the charts compared to Sophie’s, it’s like comparing a mission to Mars to a walk in the park.

To my mind there are some lessons to be learned from our little microcosm of the autism world. Mainly, that the autism experience — even within one family and limited to the severe end of the spectrum, never mind the galactic expanse of the mid and high functioning ranges — is so immensely varied that any attempt by self-advocates to “speak for autistics” is absurd and should be presumed invalid. While constructive advice is always welcome, attempts to superimpose one’s narrow agenda on others with starkly different realities and needs is nonsensical. As a friend said, it’s like an attempt at voter suppression of severe autism families, stripping them of their voice.

Amy Lutz, who serves on the NCSA board, just published a piece in Psychology Today about the dangerous phenomenon of “partial representation,” where one group purports to speak for another, thereby misinforming policymakers and the public about the real needs of people disabled by autism. I encourage you to read it.

Says Lutz, “In my opinion, autism has just become too broad—representing both married college graduates and profoundly intellectually disabled adults who spend their lives in diapers and helmets … — to be fairly represented by one voice.” She adds that “claims of representation need to be made carefully, with humility and respect for diverse perspectives. And the broader the claim, the more skeptically it should be treated.”

This is clearly true. My own experience under my family’s own roof has taught me that advocacy for autistic people is only right, moral and authentic if it emphasizes an individualized, person-centered approach based not on arbitrary notions of group identity, but instead on the meeting of each diverse need, rooted in respect for each reality — what works for one person may very well fail another. Anything less is false advocacy and fraud.

Jill Escher is President of the National Council on Severe Autism.

Disclaimer: Blogposts on the NCSA blog represent the opinions of the individual authors and not necessarily the views or positions of the NCSA or its board of directors.

Immersed: An Unflinching Look at Severe Autism

A legally blind photographer’s captivating images reveal a hidden world of severe disability

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Immersed: Our Experience with Autism
Photographs by Bruce Hall
Text by Valerie Hall
Visual Summit Media $34.95 here

By Jill Escher

I’ll start this review with a fitting quote from the late Carrie Fisher who said, "I like the truth in any form. It only bothers me if I'm asked the truth about other people, I cannot tell their truth. I will tell mine in any form."

When it comes to severe autism, personal truths are hard to come by these days. The media tends to emphasize the small-victory stories like the spectrum boy whose 3-point shots brought his team to victory, the quirky, withdrawn young men who land specialty jobs at tech companies, or the troubled autistic girl belting out a holiday song on YouTube. And in advocacy circles, one is hardly allowed to mention the unremitting turmoil, exhaustion, and despair present in many autism homes without incurring the wrath of a militant minority that has anointed itself with the job to paint an infinitely rosy picture of this mysterious and often incapacitating brain disorder.

But Valerie and Bruce Hall, a couple living in Southern California who have twin boys with severe autism, take the Carrie Fisher approach. Rather than trivializing or minimizing the tragic dimensions of their boys’ disorders or pretending to speak for all with “autism,” the talented duo steadfastly tell their own truth. And they tell it hard, in both words and pictures in this unusual large-format art book (it is a high-quality art book, which accounts for the unusually high price), acknowledging that autistic kids like theirs “generally do not make inspirational news stories.” Bruce, a photographer who has been legally blind since birth, tells his truth in photographs, while Valerie, a gifted writer with a poetic bent, shares her painful reality in poignant prose accompanying the images.

Immersed is not the first to take the art-book approach to portraiture of classic forms of autism. I know of Echolilia, by Bay Area photographer and autism dad Timothy Archibald, and Understanding Stanley by UK autism mom Rosie Barnes. Photography fans should also check out photographer Mel Lindstrom’s artful series on Elevators, created in honor of his autistic son’s obsession. Immersed is a jewel in this subgenre, for it vividly opens the world’s eyes to an all-too-often hidden tragedy, and invites the broader society to understand, and to help. As autism rates skyrocket (up 40-fold in California over the past 30 years, surpassing 125,000 severe cases) each autism story should not only be told, but considering the vast societal implications, should also be considered front-page news, adorned with blazing neon lights, clanging alarms and giant arrows flashing “READ THIS! ” I wish all autism families had the ability and drive (and time) to tell their stories as the Halls have done, for the public deserves to hear hard truths about autism that will affect us as a society for decades to come.

”The public deserves to hear hard truths about autism that will affect us as a society for decades to come.”

As I first leafed through the book, seeing picture after picture of the twin boys James and Jack with vacant expressions and engaged in the most simplistic of repetitive of behaviors (jumping, splashing, screaming, spinning, swinging, for example), my favorite definition of the word “autism” came immediately to mind. The late Bernie Rimland, in his seminal book “Infantile Autism,” published 55 years ago, offered perfect terminology when he called the central dysfunction of autism a “closed loop phenomenon.” He likened autism brain circuits to a track lacking switches and sidings that would promote integration of complex information. Instead “raw material comes and goes, but the parcels are never opened and their contents are not mixed to form any useful compound.” In autism, said Rimland, “stimuli are apprehended but not comprehended,” resulting in profound learning disability and behavioral abnormalities that are the outward manifestation of an inner world stuck on a closed loop rather than a flourishing web of connections fundamental to meaning, cognition and development (Infantile Autism, 50th Anniversary Edition, p. 111).

This exasperating and stubbornly intervention-resistant closed-loop phenomenon is the core of the autism portrayed in Immersed. While the likes of author and inventor Temple Grandin may get all the attention, she and other highly articulate and intelligent people do not come close to representing this catastrophic core mental dysfunction. Indeed, Jack and James are poster children for classic closed-loop autism. They appear in the photos to be virtually imprisoned inside the misfiring loops of their funky-wired brains. While their typically developing older sister Christina peers from the pages with a sparkling intelligence that connects effortlessly to the people and things around her, the boys are lost in small worlds, or circularities, of their own. James stares at a spinning top. He plugs his ears to keep out sounds. In spite of many efforts to curtail the behavior, Jack bangs his head, leaving a red bruise.

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The photos are at once in-your-face and immediate—probably a byproduct of Bruce’s visual limitations and inability to see from a distance—but also remarkably non-intimate in the sense that the subjects never connect to us through the camera. Typical boys of Jack and James’ age clown for the camera, gesturing, sticking out their tongues, showing off, smiling, or otherwise performing kid antics. But these young subjects have no awareness of the camera’s function, they never pose or react or are seen doing anything remotely purposeful in response to their father’s clicking of the shutter.

Those of us who live with severe autism can easily relate to many of the pictures as scenes ripped straight from our own lives. The miserable therapist fruitlessly trying to teach a basic “feed the baby” task as the oblivious autistic student instead flicks plastic utensils. A helpless grandfather going through the joyless ritual of a birthday party that means nothing to the boys except for the pleasure of being able to fiddle with new mylar balloons. Boys wearing Halloween costumes but not having a clue what the outfits mean. A boy jumping high and flapping his hands at the sight of a wave at the beach. The boys are seen alternatively biting a swing, ripping out plants, splashing in water, staring intensely at their hands or plastic rings, screeching, scribbling, running about naked. These private scenes, artfully captured with originality and multi-layered meaning, are all too familiar to me and so many other families.

In spite of the gritty-reality approach, the book never loses respect for the boys and is never without love. In a theme common to autism parents, two narratives play tug-of-war in Valerie’s heart: “Every day, I embrace the reality of who Jack is. I close up the wound, tell it to heal. Every day, Jack grows, and does not grow. And the wound is reopened. As long as he is here, as long as the days keep coming, the losses recur and evolve and accumulate. I see and love Jack for who he is. I see and mourn Jack for who he will never be….”

“Every day is Groundhog Day, with precious few skills achieved over the years in spite of endless therapies and interventions. The stunted development is in sharp contrast to the hyperabundance of caregiving, cleaning and chaos.”

Valerie expresses a fairly universal autism-mom experience when she describes going through daily life feeling almost alien “among all these people with their normal lives, normal concerns, normal frustrations and problems.” But it’s the lack of growth, development and learning that most distresses her. Every day is Groundhog Day at the Hall residence, with precious few skills achieved over the years in spite of endless therapies and interventions. The stunted development is in sharp contrast to the hyperabundance of caregiving, cleaning and chaos.

For me, the book also provokes important questions. Why do Jack and James have autism in the first place? (The book does not address this, but from a public health and social services point of view, it’s clearly an urgent question, and since my main focus in autism is crafting pilot research projects examining causes of genomic disruptions I could not help but wonder.) Why have cases like these, once so exceedingly rare that pediatricians would see one or two in the entire course of a career, been surging in number since the 1980s? Who will care for the boys and the countless thousands like them as they age into adulthood and parents become infirm and die?

It also begs the question, what is "autism"? Valerie voices a simmering resentment toward trendy Pollyanna views of autism and the euphemism-mongers of the neurodiversity movement, who consider autism just a difference, or even a gift, and not a disability. She writes: “You hypocritical proponents of neurodiversity, who would ferociously stand against a cure for their debilitating disease, who do not have to live my boys’ lives, do not experience the pervasive and devastating consequences of autism. You may offer me platitudes or judgment, but you would never trade places with me, or with my boys, or with any of the people you claim to defend.”

The ultimate message of the book: autism can be so hard and demanding that no family can go it alone, and it must be seen and treated as a shared social responsibility. It is art serving as a cry for help.

Buy the book: http://a.co/0vIaSTx

Bruce Hall's website:
 www.brucehallphoto.com

Jill Escher is president of the National Council on Severe Autism. This book review is adapted from her prior piece that appeared at the Autism Society San Francisco Bay Area website.

The reality of severe autism during shelter-in-place

“How come you can go to the gym but my kid can’t receive his essential therapies that are written in and signed on an Individual Education Plan?”

The author’s fridge, broken, covered in coffee grounds, thanks to #severeautism.

The author’s fridge, broken, covered in coffee grounds, thanks to #severeautism.

By JH

This is the reality of #severeautism in shelter-in-place. Months of being isolated. This is a small piece of it.

An aggressively pulled out broken freezer (I’ve tried locks in the past) covered in coffee grounds. Why? Anger & frustration from a confused and frustrated #asd kid.  

I see on my private Facebook group of severe autism parents that we are all in hell. Holes in walls. Electronics thrown across a room. Bite marks. It’s like trying to get through a ‘full moon’ kinda day every day.

We have have been very stringent since the beginning with self-isolation; we have a family member with a compromised immune system. As I begin to watch restrictions lift all around me, I get more and more angry and resentful. I’m the first to admit it’s hard to watch everyone go out to eat, vacation, finally get their hair done after complaining for so long.

A lot of us #specialneedsparents laughed in the beginning because being confined to home due to a challenging child is our norm. But AT LEAST we had day programs. We had school as one of our only respites. Our children go to school for so much more than education. They receive many essential therapies such as speech, applied behavioral, occupational, life skills. Now, all gone.

At 11, our son is still working on being able to sit for longer than 30 seconds. And when there’s a long break, there’s major regression. There’s added behaviors. There’s heartache. I see daycamps opening back up. I see families going to the beach and visiting parks and hanging out with other friends and families. Yet our special kiddos are still supposed to be ‘educated’ through Zoom?

Have you seen how fast they are? Watch me chase him in the backyard with a laptop trying to get him to connect with his speech therapist. He literally laughs at me.

How come you can go to the gym but my kid can’t receive his essential therapies that are written in and signed on an Individual Education Plan? I know it’s not your fault. But I have reached out to both @gavinnewsom and my Assemblymember with no response. My son’s special needs school is amazing and is a huge part of his growth. But their hands are tied. Who has the answers?

JH is the mother of a son with severe autism. She is based in the San Francisco Bay Area.

Disclaimer: Blogposts on the NCSA blog represent the opinions of the individual authors and not necessarily the views or positions of the NCSA or its board of directors.

Is the U.S. autism surge real or a mirage? There’s an easy way to find out.

A massive U.S. study rooted in the 1960s found a classic autism rate of about .066%. Today, rates for severe autism are about 10-fold higher, and 28-fold higher for all ASD. Revisiting the study’s original data would reveal the truth about autism’s increasing prevalence.

Was autism just as prevalent in the 1960s as today? The author explains that there’s an easy way to find out. (Stock photo)

Was autism just as prevalent in the 1960s as today? The author explains that there’s an easy way to find out. (Stock photo)

By Jill Escher

Debates over autism prevalence continue to rage. Has the rate of objectively measurable neurodevelopmental disability been increasing, or has the autism explosion been entirely subjective, as a mere matter of perception or artifact of shifting diagnostics and awareness? In other words, have 1 in 54 U.S. children always suffered the impairments of autism spectrum disorder as defined today, or were earlier generations in fact neurodevelopmentally healthier?

Believe it or not, there’s an easy way to settle this dispute. The method lies in a trove of data, mostly from the 1960s, collected by a massive U.S. government funded research project called The Collaborative Perinatal Project, or CPP. 

As the nation mourned JFK and the Beatles played Shea Stadium, CPP researchers were busy gathering data for one of the largest and broadest epidemiological studies in American history. It was conceived in the 1950s as a way to better understand the causes of cerebral palsy and intellectual disability, though it also examined anatomical birth defects and other endpoints. 

The CPP enrolled 55,000 pregnant mothers at 12 university-affiliated hospitals across the U.S. from 1959 to 1965. It compiled exhaustive amounts of data about the mothers and their pregnancies, and also, for 30,000 of the offspring, the health and developmental outcomes — with particular attention to thorough psychological and neurological assessment — at multiple timepoints across childhood. Altogether about 4,000 pieces of information were collected on each pregnancy and its outcome.

For the 30,000 children, researchers noted when children were meeting the criteria at the time for various developmental, behavioral and neurological conditions, and also less severe or suspected cases of these conditions. The CPP was particularly thorough in finding even subtle cases that the educational and medical systems would not have captured.

The following criteria were used for assigning a child with the label of infantile autism. Though many say the criteria for autism were restrictive in the 1960s, I find them remarkably similar to the criteria used when my own two children were diagnosed with DSM-IV Autistic Disorder many decades later. They included the presence of the following characteristics by age three:

  1. Abnormal responses to external stimuli: a pattern of marked under- or over-responsiveness noted by outside observers;

  2. Stereotyped or automatic behaviors: hand-flapping, rocking, head-banging, masturbation, twirling, spinning of objects, nose-picking/lip-chewing;

  3. Abnormal affective human contact: marked bizarreness in relating, including poor eye contact, preference for objects over people, extreme withdrawal from people; and 

  4. Abnormal language development: echolalia, use of unconnected words and phrases, irrelevant speech, perseveration, adoption of jargon, making bizarre sounds, clang associations.* (*Editor’s note: clang associations = groups of words chosen because of the catchy way they sound, not because of what they mean.)

From Torrey et al. Journal of Autism and Childhood Schizophrenia, 5(4):288-297 (1975). 

Based on the CPP’s thorough developmental assessments, what was the rate of identified autism cases? According to the paper by Torrey and colleagues, at age 7, the rate for infantile autism was .0466%, reflecting 14 of 30,000 children who were followed up, or 1 out of 2,143 children, which was consistent with numbers from UK studies at that time. The sex ratio was 4 to 1 males to females, consistent with ratios seen then, and today. Half the children were black, five were white, and one from Puerto Rico and one from India, a rate comparable to the overall study population, which was more heavily black and less white than the U.S. population as a whole.

Of the 14 autistic children, at age 7, three had IQ scores above 70 (71, 72, 73), four had scores below 70 (37, 45, 50 and 50), and seven were considered untestable. Therefore, by today’s standards for intellectual disability (IQ of 70 or less), only 11 children in the CPP cohort had autism with ID, or .0366% of the population. But let’s stick with the full 14 for the sake of being conservative when comparing to today’s rates of autism with ID.

Now, the Torrey paper also identified six additional CPP children who were labeled as severely disturbed, apparently psychotic, childhood schizophrenic or possibly autistic. Four had abnormal language development and abnormal affective human contact when younger, but at age 7 had normal neurological development. The other two children were said to be obviously abnormal. The IQs in this group were 54, 67, 78, 82, and two were not testable. So, for the sake of constructing an even more conservative comparison to autism today, let’s add all those into the CPP autism pile, for a total of 20 children out of 30,000, or a rate of .066% cases of classic autism

Torrey et al. admitted that they may not have captured every case of what we today would call classic autism, but they stated they believed most of the autistic children were identified.

I hope it is plain to all readers that the rate of classic or severe autism is much, much higher than .066% today.

As one point of comparison, let’s look at California Department of Developmental Services (DDS) autism cases, which is limited to more severe forms of autism, involving intellectual disability and functional impairments. Most of these cases would meet the Torrey criteria. The prevalence of DDS-eligible autism has recently surged past a shocking 1% of all children born in the state, which is 15-fold higher than the CPP’s .066%. 

Did the researchers who so thoroughly evaluated the CPP children miss about 300 cases of classic autism (that is, 20 identified cases x 15)? I find that difficult to believe — how did the CPP classify the missing 300 cases? Simply as intellectual disability? There is no indication of this. In fact, at age 7, the CPP rate of severe intellectual disability (then called mental retardation) was 0.6%, which as I understand it, meant approximately IQ 70 and under (in the CPP, the values differed depending on sex and race). This is about the same rate seen in CDC autism cases today — but the CPP’s .6% encompassed ALL cases of low IQ —not just autism, but also chromosomal and genetic disorders such as Down Syndrome, all hypoxia at birth, all encephalitis, all brain injuries, etc. Therefore, it seems impossible that the rate of autism with ID was the same as today.

A comparison to U.S. Centers for Disease Control autism data is also in order. According to the CDC’s ADDM network, of the approximately 1 in 54 U.S. children with ASD today, 33% have intellectual disability, with low IQ ≤ 70. (In addition, 24% have borderline intellectual disability, with IQs of 71-85, and 42% have IQs above 85.) (Maenner et al. 2020). 

A review of data from the CPP archives would enable us to fill in the knowledge gaps about the magnitude of the autism increase over the past five decades, even if limited to an apples-to-apples review of obvious cases of classic autism.

A review of data from the CPP archives would enable us to fill in the knowledge gaps about the magnitude of the autism increase over the past five decades, even if limited to an apples-to-apples review of obvious cases of classic autism.

That means about .61% of U.S. children today have autism with significant ID. Even limiting autism to a narrow low-IQ definition, the rate today is still 9.2-fold higher than in the .066% autism rate of CPP era (which included IQs higher than 70). Using the full 1 in 54 rate, the U.S. autism rate is 28-fold higher than the CPP autism. 

Now referencing only the rate in the CDC’s autism with low-IQ subset, did the researchers who so thoroughly evaluated the CPP children miss about 180 cases of autism (that is, 20 identified cases x 9.2)? Again, per the discussion above I find that difficult to believe.

Furthermore, of the 40,000 CPP children for whom there is this data, only about 125 children were institutionalized, for total of .31% of children. This would have included many with Down Syndrome, CP, epilepsy, brain injury, and rare genetic disorders, in addition to autism. While many argue that autism was “hidden” in previous generations due to mass institutionalization, the CPP data does not bear this out.

A moral imperative: Ascertaining autism cases in the CPP

Now, I am not an epidemiologist, and I admit that my analysis here is a back-of-the-envelope approximation attempting to compare apples to apples between children of the 1960s and today. But combing through the detailed CPP data any reasonably skilled epidemiologist or clinician could determine past autism rates by today’s standards. And if that might be difficult for high-functioning autism, it’s at least possible with regard to the more clearly impaired subset. This objective comparison would require knowing intellectual, social, behavioral and adaptive functioning of the children — and that data exists, in spades.

An analysis should eschew any fixation about labels and instead focus on objective, qualitative measures, such as that for adaptive functioning. Measurement of skills needed in normal daily living is, after all, the essential nub of the autism crisis today — our concern is for the growing ranks of mentally disabled children who will never be able to care for themselves (no matter what the diagnostic label). There are also ways to objectively measure intellectual skills, communication and language skills, capacity for abstract thought, and social skills, among others.

“We have the moral duty to discover the truth about the decline in mental functioning among U.S. children.”

Have we in fact been experiencing a significant decline in mental functioning among our children? If so, this implies dramatic shifts in research priorities and long-term care policy and funding. America, we have the ability, and the moral duty, to discover the truth once and for all. Let’s do this.

[I must add my constant refrain when discussing these rising rates — vaccines do not cause autism. Please vaccinate your children.]

Jill Escher is an autism research philanthropist and president of the National Council on Severe Autism. She is also the parent of two children with nonverbal forms of autism.

Disclaimer: Blogposts on the NCSA blog represent the opinions of the individual authors and not necessarily the views or positions of the NCSA or its board of directors.

What leads to severe behaviors in autism?

Meltdowns, outbursts, aggressions, and self-injurious behaviors are major contributors to poor quality of life for those with autism, and also create tremendous caregiver stress. In this 2018 lecture from the Simons Foundation lecture series, Matthew Siegel, MD, looks behind what causes these often dangerous and disruptive behaviors. “We are like prisoners held hostage to his aggression,” he quotes one parent as saying, noting this was not unusual. So how do you treat challenging behaviors?

Behavior in autism is typically looked at as “serving a function,” but Dr. Siegel stresses evidence for that is limited and there are other ways to look at severe behaviors, including impairments in regulating physiologic arousal and emotional regulation.

Dr. Siegel draws upon the Autism Inpatient Collection data, a Simons-funded project, to offer preliminary insights into the relationships between physiologic arousal, emotion dysregulation and the occurrence of challenging behaviors. Physiologic arousal may be a biomarker of distress — and an opportunity to predict the onset of challenging behavior in real time, an urgent need for parents and caregivers. The unpredictability of dangerous behaviors that causes the greatest problems, and he discusses a biosensor-based method to pro-actively predict aggressive behavior, one that seems to work with 80% accuracy.

  • Also discussed:
    —Severe autism is sorely under-represented in research.
    —Risk factors for psychiatric hospitalization in ASD: low adaptive functioning, higher ASD symptom severity, mood disorder, single-parent household, and sleep problems.
    —Most common medications: antipsychotics, stimulants and sleep aids.

Center of Excellence in Autism and Developmental Disorders Virtual groundbreaking Wednesday, June 17 at noon ET

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An expansion of Dr. Siegel’s center in Maine is having virtual groundbreaking this Wednesday, June 17 at noon ET, please find more information here. The Center of Excellence campaign aims to build a home for the many needed services for Maine people with Autism and Developmental Disorders. New and expanded services made possible through our building campaign will include:

  • Child and adult outpatient clinics 

  • Preschool and early intervention in-home services

  • Child day treatment

  • Child and adult intensive outpatient treatment programs

(Video is 54 minutes, please note this lecture is fairly academic, delivered to an audience of researchers)

About Dr Siegel:

Siegel is an associate professor of psychiatry and pediatrics at Tufts University School of Medicine, the vice president for medical affairs, developmental disorders service at Maine Behavioral Healthcare, and a faculty scientist at the Maine Medical Center Research Institute.  He attended Amherst College, Stanford Medical School and trained at Brown University in child psychiatry, psychiatry, and pediatrics. Siegel is the principal investigator of the Autism Inpatient Collection and is an expert in the inpatient treatment of challenging behaviors in individuals with autism and other developmental disorders.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZExLwFIPvrI

A Primer on the Abnormal Neurobiology of Autism

That autism is a disorder of early brain development is no longer a matter of debate. In particular, studies point to errors in the way young neurons are born, migrate and make crucial connections.

By Jill Escher

Neurodiversity advocates often speak of autism as a sort of benign cognitive difference, but let’s be clear: research does not support this romanticized view. To the contrary, studies increasingly reveal how autism is rooted in abnormal brain physiology and function, and in particular, critical errors in the way the brain wires up during early development.

Autism, at least the disabling autism affecting my children and others like them, is, quite frankly, a birth defect. Just one that’s hidden in mini-structural patterns beneath the skull, and not detectable at birth.

This article offers an overview of what research is teaching us about faulty brain-building and functioning in the genesis of autism, leading to characteristic impairments in thinking, executive function, sensory processing, behavior and social communication. While without question much more awaits to be discovered, neuroscience has advanced to the point where many biological foundations of autism have come into focus and should inform how we understand this increasingly prevalent, and often profoundly disabling, disorder.

HOW THE BRAIN IS MADE

It is helpful to start with a basic understanding of how a human brain, a 3-pound fatty blob of unfathomable complexity, is made. The process starts in the embryo, soon after fertilization. At this stage, the nervous system consists of a hollow tube running along the top of the embryo. The inner surface of this tube is lined with neural stem cells that divide to generate vast numbers of immature neurons, which then migrate en masse towards the outer surface. This happens at different rates (try to imagine a quarter of a million every minute!) along the length of the tube, so that one end forms the brain, and the other forms the spinal cord. 

At the front end of the tube, the different regions of the brain are formed, and immature neurons migrate in successive waves to form the six layers of the cerebral cortex — the outer “shell” of the brain, and the part most strongly implicated in autism. To form the cortex each subsequent wave of young neurons migrates past the one before it, a process guided by cells called glia. This process of neuronal generation and migration is largely complete by 5-6 months of gestation. 

Schematic of neural migration to form the cortex in the early brain. Glia cells are depicted in green. Neurons (blue) are born in the ventricular zone (VZ) and migrate along the glia fibers. The cortex is formed in an inside-out fashion such that la…

Schematic of neural migration to form the cortex in the early brain. Glia cells are depicted in green. Neurons (blue) are born in the ventricular zone (VZ) and migrate along the glia fibers. The cortex is formed in an inside-out fashion such that later-born neurons pass through earlier-born neurons in deeper layers (lighter blue shading). In autism, the complex process of neural migration, placement, alignment and connection is impaired.(Diagram from Gilbert and Man, Front. Cell. Neurosci., 2017)

Once a young neuron has reached its final destination, it sprouts extensions called axons and dendrites that extend towards, then begin to form connections with, other neurons. Dendrites from just one neuron can have thousands of spines, with each spine forming a synaptic connection upon maturing. The number of spines and connections are fine-tuned in early development.

Diagram of grey and white matter of the cortex.

Diagram of grey and white matter of the cortex.

Though just a few millimeters thick, the cortex comprises six layers, and in normal brains, the cells are arranged uniformly in each layer, like well connected microprocessors. Complex thought and behaviors depend on precise organization and robust connectivity of these cortical cells. During months 6-7, the cortex folds, tripling in area, becoming the largest structure in the human brain. Neurons continue the process of connecting with each other both within and across brain regions through the early postnatal period. The sections of neurons within the cortex are known as grey matter, and the deeper tissues, or white matter, is composed of axons extending from the neurons to other parts of the brain.

In all, an estimated 86 billion neurons must proliferate, grow and migrate to the correct locations, and then connect robustly with other neurons, with 100s of trillions of connections. Then even after the organ takes its basic shape, the neurons and their neurotransmitters, which send signals across the synapses, must have the capacity to function properly as well.

In addition, neurons are not the only type of brain cells, and certainly not the only brain cells involved in autism. Glial cells, including microglia, astrocytes, and oligodendrocytes constitute a large fraction of the human brain. The microglia, to describe one, are the brain's 'housekeeping' cells, which constantly patrol the organ and migrate to sites of injury and infection, where they engulf cellular debris and microbes. They also gobble up unwanted synaptic connections, a function that is crucial for sculpting developing brain circuits, and for maintaining mature circuits. The size of the brain doubles in the first year of life, not because new neurons are formed, but because of the expanding glial cell network.

ABNORMALITIES IN THE AUTISM BRAIN

So how does neural development deviate from the norm in autism brains? Let’s first acknowledge that one cannot simply biopsy the brains of people with autism to find these answers. Because brain tissues are inaccessible, scientists use indirect techniques, including analysis of post-mortem autism brains, neuroimaging techniques such as functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI), in vitro (think petri dish) studies where neurons may be programmed from patients’ other cells such as blood or skin cells, and animal models, for example, looking at brains of mice with certain autism-related mutations.

Studies using various versions of these techniques have found strong and consistent evidence that critical processes of cortical development, including cell birth, migration, and/or synaptogenesis are disrupted, resulting in abnormalities including impaired micro-structural development and failure of proper connectivity. Neurons get stuck in migration, or don’t file into proper position, or fail to sprout or lose connections. The excitatory and inhibitory functions of neurons are unbalanced. Strong evidence also supports the role of synaptic dysfunction. The end result is that multiple stages of neuronal development are disrupted, including those in the cortex, with neurons less able to coordinate their actions with other cells in their surroundings.

Dendritic impairments. A simple schematic showing decreased dendtric spines in a pyramidal neuron in an autism brain. (From Zoghbim Science 3003)

Dendritic impairments. A simple schematic showing decreased dendtric spines in a pyramidal neuron in an autism brain. (From Zoghbim Science 3003)

These developmental failures can have profound consequences. For example, the frontal lobe of the cortex performs complex mental functions such as reasoning and decision-making, and also contains the motor areas, which plan and execute voluntary movements. The prefrontal cortex is tied to executive functioning (the process guiding goal-directed actions and the ability to handle novel situations), attention, mental flexibility, problem-solving, verbal reasoning, working memory and the ability to switch back and forth between different tasks. When the cortical neurons are not properly connected, these all-important processes, which are deficient in autism cases, are compromised.

Another important risk is abnormal circuit function arising from improper balance of the activity between excitatory and inhibitory neurons. When projection neurons become overactive where there is not enough inhibition, epileptic seizures can result.

Of course the story does not end there. Macrocephaly, or oversized head, occurs in about 15% of autism cases, a phenomenon seen by 18 months of age, often before the onset of symptoms. Microcephaly, or abnormally small head, is seen in about 20% of cases. The big brain of autism seems to result from a pathological overabundance of neurons resulting from disturbed processes of neurogenesis in utero, followed by aberrant dendrite growth, branching, and pruning into the toddler years. Many other brain structures and processes are also implicated in autism, including the amygdala, cerebellum, corpus callosum, and left postcentral gyrus, to name some. Just as there are “many autisms” there is diversity in the brain pathology of those who exhibit autism symptoms.

But if there is a central theme from neuroscience it is that abnormal connectivity patterns — both over-connectivity and under-connectivity — compared with typically developing individuals, precedes the impairments in communication, abstract thought, sensory processing, social attention, repetitive behaviors and learning seen in autism.

BUT WHAT CAUSES BRAIN DEVELOPMENT TO GO AWRY IN AUTISM?

So what causes these mishaps in brain development? These failures do not happen out of the blue; rather, research strongly suggests they are driven by dysregulated expression of the genomic code. While some cases of autism may involve direct insults like certain in utero drug exposures like valproic acid, or perinatal complications like prematurity, by and large the neurodevelopmental pathologies of autism arise due to faulty instructions from the child’s genome. This is not to say that these cases are “genetic” in the classic sense — in fact only a small fraction fit that pattern. But how brain development and function genes are read and put to work is widely seen to deviate from the norm. Most of the autisms may not be genetic per se, but they are innate, rooted in how the genome directs the form and function of brain cells. 

The genome can be thought of as an instruction book for how and when to synthesize proteins and differentiate to the end product, be it a brain cell, skin cell, or liver cell. The instruction-book has many parts. Protein-coding genes are the 1-2% of DNA that are transcribed into messenger RNA, which are then translated into polypeptide chains to make proteins. Non-coding DNA does not provide instructions for making proteins, but some of it helps control gene activity, determining when and where genes are turned on and off. Chromatin is the name for the overall physical structure of the chromosome itself, including its protein scaffolding. It helps control what the DNA does—including what DNA is accessible for protein synthesis. The epigenome includes many molecules that attach to DNA and its structure, or influence how genes are transcribed into proteins. All of these elements work together to craft the neurons and determine where and when they are born, migrate and connect up. And all of these processes have been implicated in autism.

Studies of protein-coding, or “exome,” genes have, by a wide margin, received the most attention and funding in autism research. However, this hunt for autism genes has been rather a formidable failure. No “genes for autism” have been found (see Myers et al. AHJG, 2020), and the dozens of exome genes and deletions linked with autism, are, for the most part, causative of multi-dimensional syndromes that most people do not think of as autism: for example, Fragile X, Pitt Hopkins Syndrome, Phelan-McDermid Syndrome, Angelman Syndrome, and Rett syndrome. In some instances the genes are inherited, as with Fragile X, but the majority of the time a mutation arises anew, or “de novo,” in a parent’s sperm or egg or in the conceptus, or during the earliest stages of embryonic development (called somatic mosaicism). 

Most autism-linked mutations are extremely rare, occurring in far less than 1% of the autism population, and so far, taken together, these DNA sequence errors can be detected in only about 10% of cases. Nevertheless, these genes are instructive: they typically play important roles in brain development —for example, regulation of neurogenesis or synaptogenesis, whereby connections between newborn cells are formed. For example, some autism-related genetic mutations cause defects in stem cell division, leading to an overproduction of immature neurons, which alters the migration patterns of the cells and disturbs the formation of layers in the developing cortex. Others cause defects in the function of microglial cells, leading to a failure to remove unwanted synapses in the developing neural circuits. 

In recent years, researchers have also discovered autism-associated mutations in non-coding sections of the genome. For example, deletions in chromosome region Xp22.11 are sometimes found in males with autism — in non-coding regions, reducing activation of the NMDA receptor, a cell-surface protein that is critical for signaling in the brain, and that plays important roles in learning and memory.

However, in the vast majority of cases, autism causes are unknown, and by my reading of the literature, finding the molecular factors disrupting the proper expression of brain development genes stands as the greatest puzzle in autism research today. Since autism is strongly heritable, the factors likely reside somewhere in the germ cells of the parents — but based on extensive evidence over two decades of research, likely not within the DNA sequence.

But wherever the faults may lie, somehow gene networks highly expressed during fetal brain development are indeed perturbed, impacting crucial signaling pathways for brain-building. This was most recently seen in a study of neurons cultured from blood cells of young children with autism, finding consistent dysregulation in a number of neural pathways. Further, the degree of dysregulation of gene expression correlated with the severity of ASD symptoms in children. Additionally, post-mortem studies have also found striking changes in gene expression in autism brains. For example, a 2016 study examining 48 post-mortem autism brains revealed that transcription levels of 584 genes were elevated in the brains of the autistic individuals compared to those of controls, whereas the levels of another 558 were reduced. Many of the dysregulated genes are expressed in microglia or neurons in the cerebral cortex. Another recent study detected almost 700 differences in gene activity in samples from 15 post mortem autism brains. The biggest differences were found in genes expressed in cells called inhibitory interneurons, which control local circuit activity, in 'projection' neurons in the upper layers of the cortex, which send fibers to neighboring regions of the brain, and in microglial cells. Dysregulation of specific sets of genes in projection neurons and microglia was associated with the severity of autism symptoms.

SUMMING UP

“In sum, while generally speaking autism is not a genetic disorder, it is a disorder of regulation of genes critical for brain development.”

In sum, while generally speaking autism is not a genetic disorder, it is a disorder of regulation of genes critical for brain development. The dysregulation disrupts successive stages of development, including cell birth, migration, dendritic growth, synapse maturation, and the assembly of circuits in the developing cerebral cortex, ultimately leading to the cognitive and behavioral dysfunctions we label as autism. Atypical gene activity is linked to the degree of autistic impairments, with those who are most impaired showing the most atypical activity. 

Why does this matter? Understanding the true pathophysiology of autism should have major implications across research, medicine, and social services. For example, knowing the forces that disturb the key gene networks could lead to measures for prevention. Instead of throwing darts at costly and ineffective medical and behavioral treatments, we could more precisely and meaningfully target intervention. We could stop hitting our heads against the wall with nonsense causation theories. But most importantly, by knowing that behavior is the outgrowth of biological short-circuits (which were no one’s fault!) we could more fully understand and support all those who are disabled by autism.

brainnet.jpg

And now, a plea. Autism BrainNet accelerates brain research by fostering the collection and sharing of the rare resource of human brain tissue. Please sign up here to be a participant in the Autism BrainNet Registry. You will receive information on the value of making a brain donation to support research on autism. This is not a consent form and you are under no obligation to ever make a donation. Thank you.

Jill Escher is the president of the National Council on Severe Autism, an autism research philanthropist (Escher Fund for Autism), and the mother of two children with nonverbal forms of autism. With thanks to neuroscientist and writer Moheb Costandi for providing helpful background information.

Another rug bites the dust: the collateral damage of severe autism

The daily tumult of autism can discombobulate a home and drain a bank account.

messy-stuff_orig.png

By Jill Escher

Where did all my kitchen rugs go? It’s 3.20 in the morning and as usual, I’m awake. Not by choice but because, like clockwork, my sweet, nonverbal 18 year-old son with autism woke at 3 and started running, some might say rampaging, around the house. Boom, clomp clomp, tap tap tap, whoosh door opens, slam door closes, ugh.

I pat around my nightstand, reluctantly find my glasses, and head downstairs, not knowing what mischief may have transpired over the past 20 minutes. These wee-hour melees can be a bit like a suspense scene in a not-very-scary horror movie. Open the door… what will we see… probably not a severed head… but….

And there it is. My kitchen rugs are gone.

Jonny’s sitting at the kitchen table with a big grin and four iPhone 3GS’s splayed out before him. Shredded parmesan, once neatly bagged in the still-open fridge, is strewn over the table and floor, as if some yellow snow had fallen from the light fixture. With a well chewed pink toothbrush he taps at his iPhones, all synced to that 1979 tune, My Sharona.

Well, I'm happy he's so happy, but... my half-awake head buzzes, “Where are my rugs rugs, rugs rugs rugs, where did they go go, go go go? My Sharona.”

Over our north neighbor’s fence? Over the east one, aka the Corner of No Return? In the hot tub? It’s now 3.25 a.m. and I’m not exactly in the mood to treasure hunt floor coverings. And I can't help but wonder, Oh great god of missing rugs and whatnot, what reverse jackpots will the chaos of autism bring today?

"What reverse jackpots will the chaos of autism bring today?"

Depending on the mood, strength, and obsession du jour of the individual, the daily collateral damage of autism can be staggering. What amazes me is that these types of bills don't even show up when the experts talk about the costs of autism. (See, for example this 2015 study out of UC Davis, which did include lost productivity in addition to care and medical costs.) But we really need to talk about them because they can hugely impact families' quality of life and financial well being.

Just to illustrate how high this officially invisible toll of autism can be, a recent day at our home went like this. About $90 for a new sheet set to replace the otherwise perfect set he shredded (the 19th replacement of the year). A $120 iPad and iPhone repair bill. I do not exaggerate when I say that some weeks we’re a patient of Phone Doctor of San Jose every single day. Then add $240 for the housekeeper because I hardly have time for the Sisyphean task of cleaning up after my main man. In the late afternoon, add $225 for the handyman to replace the cracked casing of a door that had the misfortune to come between Jonny and his cherished iPhones. Finally, just as I looked forward to using them at the ice rink with my autistic daughter that evening, I found my new iPhone 7 earbuds torn into pieces, and poof! goes $29. In all, our daily autism-damage bill can easily top $500.

“In all, our daily autism-damage bill can easily top $500.”

Mattresses shredded. Upholstery ripped. Drywall bitten. Paint peeled. iPads shattered and iPhones dunked. Keys snapped off our piano and MacBooks. Window screens pushed out from their moorings. Down pillows punctured, with the nightmare of tiny feathers settling in all corners. Rugs denuded of their pile. Jackets ripped, shoes chewed, sweatpants with holes the size of grapefruit. Shutter slats chewed, askew and broken, giving our home a whiff of Haunted Mansion. The car’s seat gouged into a mini crater of foam.

To be abundantly clear, I don't blame my beloved son one bit. Not a speck of this Tasmanian Devilishness is his fault. You will not find a kinder or sweeter soul on this planet. He deserves the Nobel Peace Prize just for being him. It’s simply a matter of short-circuited brain wiring — blaming him would be like blaming someone for having seizures.

But understandable though it may be, no one can ignore a bill for material casualties easily exceeding $25,000 a year. If we counted all the child care, social services, schooling, therapeutics, and specialized camps and recreation, we’re talking an annual Autism Bill of many multiples of that. And that doesn't even encompass our Double Bill, as we have another child with nonverbal autism as well.

“No one can ignore a bill for material casualties easily exceeding $25,000 a year.”

For many families, massive expenses like these are just the start of their reverse lottery. Often parents must sacrifice a job, and the entire income stream that came with it, to care for children or adult children. They become unable to save for their own retirements as every excess penny from this dried up cash flow gets diverted to the never-ending Bill. The financial damage of autism can be devastating, even a one-way ticket to poverty. And now the situation seems poised to get worse.

I know, groan, these are not fun topics. Wouldn't you rather just binge watch "The Good Doctor," with its autistic genius protagonist? Perhaps instead of indulging in sugar-coated fantasies, turn your attention to the hundreds of thousands of families in our country living with harsh and often bank-draining realities of severe autism.

As I edit this blog I get a text from a friend. Her large autistic son just broke her bed, after recently breaking his own, which they had reinforced multiple times with heavy lumber and bolts, to no avail. Two beds dead. Two mattresses with mushed springs. Her Autism Bill of the day started with a whopper of about $2,000. Not to mention all the family's lost sleep and time she must devote to restoring habitability to her home.

Just before dawn, I spy my rugs over the north fence, alongside a pile of missing sheets and towels. Phew, no shopping today, just a retrieval mission. But then my gorgeous Jonny, skipping with his abundant energy and joy, darts into the front yard and yanks the rear windshield wiper off my car, breaking the arm. Ka-ching! And it’s only 6 a.m.

Jill Escher is President of the National Council on Severe Autism, Immediate Past President of Autism Society San Francisco Bay Area, founder of the Escher Fund for Autism, and a housing provider to adults with autism and developmental disabilities. She is also a former lawyer and the mother of two children with nonverbal forms of autism. [A version of this post first appeared at the Autism Society San Francisco Bay Area blog.]

Disclaimer: Blogposts on the NCSA blog represent the opinions of the individual authors and not necessarily the views or positions of the NCSA or its board of directors.

Prevalence of autism up in schools across the U.K.

Rate more than doubles in Northern Ireland, Scotland, England and Wales

 
UK asd prevalence jpg crop.png
 

By Jill Escher

A new report on autism in U.K. schools indicates sharp increases in prevalence rates over a nine-year period through 2019. The report saw autism rates climbing in all four countries of England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland.

Northern Ireland had the highest prevalence throughout, reaching 3.20% of all students by 2018/19, more than double 1.41 nine years prior). The lowest rate in 2019 was 1.92% in Wales, a number that aligns with the rate seen in a recent study of U.S. children by the CDC. England, which has by far the largest population of schoolchildren (8,180,469 in 2019) had a rate of 2.25%, with Scotland seeing a slightly higher rate of 2.51%

The paper noted the data were based on consistent protocols for recording ASD. Every year on a specified date all pupils with special educational needs are identified by school personnel and by their type of needs, including “autism spectrum disorders.” These school census data now go back nine years. The pupils have undergone a formal process of assessment and received a statement of their special education needs. A formal diagnosis of ASD is not recorded in the census.

The four countries had some differences in recording disability categories, however. Scotland and Northern Ireland, all the types of special educational needs applicable to each pupil could be selected. However, in England, the most significant or primary need was ranked as ‘1’, with any secondary need ranked ‘2’. Wales had one special educational need recorded per pupils up to 2015/16, and then recorded all types of needs per pupil. A sharper increase in Wales’ autism prevalence was noted after this change in practice, though the rate still remained lower than in the other three countries.

Diagnostic substitution is unlikely to explain the increase. The author of the report, Roy McConkey, PhD, Emeritus Professor of Developmental Disabilities and formerly Professor Learning Disability, Institute of Nursing and Health Research at Ulster University, stated, “we have seen in the U.K. an overall rise in the number of pupils considered to have special educational needs and also with autism being identified as a co-morbidity alongside other developmental conditions and impairments.”

Data was not available to segregate cases by severity levels, and exercise that could have helped clarify some of the underlying trends. However, the reported noted a sharp increase in students with autism in special schools across the U.K., with the rate nearly doubling in England.

Though the report addressed potential administrative reason behind the increasing rates it ultimately could not identify the reasons for the full longitudinal growth or variation among the countries, but noted that “the rate of increase shows little sign of abating and may indeed be accelerating.”

Reference

McConkey R. The rise in the numbers of pupils identified by schools with autism spectrum disorder (ASD): a comparison of the four countries in the United Kingdom (2020).